Where is the alleged systematic (overestimate) bias in “hiatus” model predictions?

Question

There is no systematic bias in the models’ physical climate variables:

-- not in model assumptions or calculations of radiant energy from the sun and stored by CO2;

-- not in model assumptions or calculations of energy radiated back into space;

-- not in model assumptions or calculations of energy stored in the oceans, and;

-- not in model assumptions or calculations of climate sensitivity (even in models with climate sensitivity 3-times greater than others).

http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v517/n7536/full/nature14117.html#affil-auth

匿名 · Answer

SOO what you are saying is that although now all of the climate models are overestimating, there is not a bias because the variability is SOOO high that you models are extremely uncertain in the short term???

SO we are clear, you are expecting me to believe that models that fail to predict in the short term are accurate in the long term?

Wage Slave · Answer

The models predicted more warming that what we have observed.  I could pull up a number of graphs which show the divergence.  But you are not interested in reality.

Kano · Answer

What homogenized statistically manipulated B.S. it is clear to anyone with half a brain, that that the climate models have overestimated the warming from CO2
http://www.carbonbrief.org/media/157445/dr_greenswindle_499x338.jpg

Where is the alleged systematic (overestimate) bias in “hiatus” model predictions?

3 個解答