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Has any credible scientific source predicted the Arctic would be ice free by 2014?
Clearly, a so-called "scientist" on YA thinks so
a malcontent is moving the question. this is posted in GLOBAL WARMING
3 個解答
- 6 年前最愛解答
Nope.
The Working Group I report of the IPCC tracks ice melt and has never predicted that no ice by 2014.
Arctic summer sea ice cover has been measured through the century, and has showed significant declines. 9 million km2 in 1980, 8 million km2 in 2000, and 6 million km2 in 2010. Despite these steady declines, there are no scientific projections of a year when there will be no sea ice.
資料來源： IPCC Working Group I Report http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/report/WG1... - JamesLv 56 年前
The number comes from work by Maslowski et al at the Naval Postgraduate School. The actual projection from their model was 2016+/-3, and that value was given with the caveat that it was highly uncertain and should only be taken as a bound on the very earliest that it could happen--it was certainly not a prediction.
